Fed Rate Cuts – Will They Help Stocks?

Last month, the Fed took a drastic step to cut rate twice by a total of 125 basis points. And with a drop of 225 basis points since last fall, what does this say about likely stock returns? Let’s look at the historical data.

Since 1950, the Fed cut more than 200 basis points 11 times in attempts to simulate a faltering economy. Economists believe it takes six months for the rate cuts to take effect which should last for as long as three years. Therefore I examined the one- and three-year returns of the S&P 500 Index and the Fama/French Small Cap Value benchmark portfolio for each rate-cut period.

After cuts of 200+ basis points, the average one-year return for the S&P 500 was 13.5% with two negative-return periods. The average three-year returns for the S&P 500 was 31.8% with one negative-return period.

However, the Fama/French Small Cap Value benchmark portfolio fared better. The one-year average return is 34.5% with no negative returns. The three-year average return was 100.5% with just one negative-return period.


Periods of rate cuts S&P500 S/V* S&P500 S/V*
of 200bp or more 1y ret 1y ret 3y ret 3y ret

Oct 1957 - Mar 1958 32% 64% 55% 106%
Apr 1960 - Jan 1961 11% 23% 25% 47%
Apr 1970 - Nov 1970 8% 12% 10% -1%
Jul 1974 - Oct 1974 21% 34% 25% 149%
Apr 1980 - May 1980 -19% 46% 46% 175%
Jan 1981 - Feb 1981 -14% 10% 20% 131%
Jun
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Why is Slot Machine Gambling Considered “The Crack Cocaine” of Gambling Addiction?

Why is slot machine gambling so addictive? Why is it coined the “crack cocaine of addiction”? Why is slot machine gambling considered to be the MOST addictive form of gambling that exists today?

I will try to answer these questions in this article. The questions are quite significant, and the answers can help to explain why so many people have gotten hooked on the “slots”, “pokies”, and “fruit machines”.

Slot machines use what is known to psychological behaviorists as “intermittent reinforcement” Basically, what this means is that a winning hand on a slot machine only happens sometimes.

This type of reinforcement is known to be very powerful because an individual is only rewarded at certain intervals. This can create an addictive reaction , resulting obsession quite easily. When you reward only sometimes., it is sure to create an obsessive reaction.

In addition, studies have shown that the neurotransmitter dopamine plays an important role in developing a gambling addiction. Dopamine is known as the “feel good” chemical. The illusions of patterns in slot machines, and the intermittent winning spins create a rush of dopamine in the brain that makes people desire continued play.

You have probably heard in the past that gambling addicts are “addicted to the action”and not really as interested in winning money like they may think they are. This is because the dopamine rush is so powerful and pleasurable, that the action of gambling becomes euphoric in its’ own right. It is a means it itself rather than … Read more

5 Good reasons Why Cryptocurrency Is So Preferred

Over the earlier couple of yrs, cryptocurrency has been a very hot subject across the globe. Most individuals are now familiar with cryptocurrency, specially Bitcoin. As a make a difference of simple fact, Bitcoin is on major of the checklist of cryptocurrencies. If you have no thought why the cryptocurrency is mounting in popularity all over the world, you are on the correct web site. In this posting, we are likely to explore 5 reasons why this new kind of currency is so common. Go through on to uncover out more.

1. Low transaction charges

The lower transaction charge is a person of the primary motives why cryptocurrency has been increasing in worth more than the past number of many years. No matter what kind of standard payment process you go for, you will have to fork out a significant transaction cost.

On the other hand, if you go for cryptocurrency for creating payments, you will have to pay back minimum amount transaction service fees. Consequently, it would make sense to use this new form of forex for producing payments on line for your wished-for items and solutions.

2. No federal government regulation

A different sound rationale why a large amount of individuals have confidence in cryptocurrencies is that they are not regulated by any govt. As a result, the worth of the currency remains steady irrespective of the authorities of a distinct nation.

Also, some investors want to defend their wealth, which is why they invest in cryptocurrencies. In … Read more

How to Spy on a Computer Without Anyone Knowing

If you need to know how to spy on a computer, I’ll tell you right now that it’s with software. But not all are created equal… some can spy on certain activities, but not everything. What’s more is that most do not do so invisibly – and this is the key thing here. Invisibility and stealth are paramount to the success of monitoring computer activities no matter the reasons. Why?

For example, this is not how to spy on a computer; if you’re trying to keep an eye on your kid while he’s online to make sure he doesn’t go off on some crazy bestiality porn site, it would do nothing if there’s some blinking fireball of an icon pulsating in the system task bar. He’ll clearly know he’s being watched, and go off to a friend’s house to check out some porn on his friend’s computer.

Obviously, that is not how to spy on a computer at all. In order to do so effectively, you absolutely positively need stealth. You need to be invisible, or it just ain’t happening, period. For this reason, when you seek out some software to monitor computer activities, it’s got to run silently and invisibly… like the types used by businesses who keep tabs on whether their employees are indeed working, or stealing account information and client files for their own ends. These software programs record everything, every detail, instant message, every keystroke, and hides them on secret invisible files that then get discretely … Read more

How To Find New Technology Articles

We are living in the future and there are new devices, gadgets and smart computers coming almost every day of our lives. It can be hard enough keeping up with our own day to day life, little lone staying up with today’s technology as it seems to fly pasts us so fast that it all begins to blur together. This is one reason that finding great resources for tech related information is very important to those who live a digital life. It is very important to not only understand the technology that is at hand, but the technology that is coming soon as well.

Many online tech blogs have many posts coming out every day, this makes it seem like they are sharing a lot of information. The fact is that many times these huge tech blogs spend more time cranking out small tidbits of information to keep their blog active than they do taking the time to do real informative posts. This is one reason why many consumers who are looking for the real low down on technology products and gadgets start searching for new technology articles instead of blogs. These articles give more in depth and informative content to the reader. Many times product reviews or other gadget updates can be found in these formats. This is one of the best ways for those who are considering a new gadget purchase to get all the information they need to make an informed decision.

Making use of the new … Read more

An Ideal Time Off Application

Getaway! Holiday! Depart! These are the Time Off phrases, which you hear in each day place of work existence. Apart from finding depart granted for trip from your Manager, the most disgruntling matter is filling out the Time Off variety and pushing it by means of various departments like Human Source (HR), Accounts, and so forth, just to make absolutely sure that all the anxious functions are conscious of your depart day period of time. This is completed so that no one, by likelihood, places your title below the Unauthorized Go away classification. The total process is a comprehensive cacophony.

What about a computer software application which shows all the permitted leave possibilities of the group? As soon as you find the expected options and post, the software pushes your variety to your Boss on its possess. And after your Boss grants your leave the software pushes the very same acceptance to all the applicable departments who approach your income. They will then come to know about your holiday break interval. Sounds fantastic! Isn’t it?

The place at this second is about locating perfect Time Off program software. A single which can do all your draconian jobs leaving you more than enough time to fill your holiday type at a leisurely tempo.

An excellent application exhibits all your up-to-date harmony leaves just about every and every time you accessibility it. Through this, you will come to know about how lots of Offs you have now taken, how a lot of … Read more